Analysis of Short-term Solar Radiation Data

Solar radiation data are available for many locations on an hourly basis. Simulation studies of solar energy systems have generally used these hourly values to estimate longterm annual performance, although solar radiation can exhibit wide variations during an hour. Variations in solar radiation during an hour, such as on a minute basis, could result in inaccurate performance estimates for some types of solar systems, such as photovoltaic systems, that respond quickly and non-linearly to solar radiation. In addition, diffuse fraction correlations and cumulative frequency distribution curves have been developed using hourly data and the accuracy of these correlations when applied to short-term radiation has not been established. The purpose of this research is to investigate the inaccuracies caused by using hourly rather than short time (i.e., minute and three minute) radiation data on the estimated performance of solar energy systems. The inaccuracies are determined by examination of the frequency distribution and diffuse fraction relationships for short-term solar radiation data as compared to existing correlations and by comparing calculated radiation on tilted surfaces and utilizability based on hourly and shortterm radiation data.